PERFORMANCE

TRACKING THE HEAD PRO'S EDGE

STEP 1 —

Combine full-field projections from 5+ of the best public strokes-gained models weighted by performance.

STEP 2 —

Filter the combined projections by mental score, ranging from -1 (weak) to +1 (strong):

💪 Mentally strong golfers (≥ +0.25) qualify for outright and placement bets.

😥 Mentally weak golfers (≤ -0.25) qualify for miss-cut bets.

STEP 3 — EV+

Compare the filtered projections with sportsbook odds to find bets with positive expected value (EV+).

STEP 4 —

Place the bets. In this backtest, we take the 3 highest-EV bets per market across 3 sportsbooks representative of the average user (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetOnline). Bets are sized using the Kelly Criterion.

DISCLAIMER: This is a live backtest, not a bet tracker. While most bets are placed, some are not.

SUMMARY

MODEL	EVENTS	BETS	PROFIT	ROI
	-	-	-	-
HEAD PRO	-	-	-	-
	DIFFERENCE:		-	-

BASE

vs.

ADJUSTED

BETS

PROFIT

ROI

EVENT

YEAR ▼

BETS

PROFIT

ROI

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